Will market turmoil drive the Fed to taper the taper?

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Consensus that the Fed would extend its $10bn taper from December with a further $10 bn taper today (reducing the monthly flow to a ‘mere’ $65 billion per month – $30bn MBS, $35bn TSY) was spot on. We suspect the view, despite the clear interconnectedness of markets (and flows), of the FOMC is that "it’s not our problem, mate" when it comes to EM turmoil.*FED TAPERS BOND BUYING TO $65 BLN.

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Indeed, several Fed policymakers wanted to drive home the idea that their asset-purchase program. low inflation and high unemployment did not push for a pause to the taper, the minutes showed. A.

One aspect of the interest rate market that is decidedly different is that the yield curve is flatter, as the short end of the curve is beginning to show signs of moving higher as the inevitable Fed.

After the job market laid. and economic turmoil in Emerging Markets adds to the uncertainty, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is already off 8.8% this year. Why is this important? In the.

The flow of the data – broadly defined – will drive our actions as. which became known as the “taper tantrum,” caused mortgage rates to spike, threatening the still-fragile housing market and.

The centrist policymaker now says it’s too early to say when the Fed will taper and that the central bank must be certain the recovery can withstand ongoing fiscal contraction. Another important consideration in the recent market dislocation is the value of primary dealer positions relative to the bond market’s total size.

Why a rate cut may not be good for the stock market Could emerging market turmoil delay tapering until 2014? – Erica Alini. The argument for postponing.. Prime examples are the U.S. Fed’s involvement in home mortgages or the Japanese central bank’s efforts to end decades of stagnation.. How Congress could derail a September taper.

If either of the factors discussed here were to reverse – i.e., a market repricing up to an old neutral for the fed funds rate or a market-unfriendly change in the Fed’s balance sheet normalization framework – another taper tantrum could result.

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. should not count on the Fed’s tightening as the potential trigger of market turmoil which would send gold prices higher. The reason is that the Fed remembers the taper tantrum and is moving now.